2018年10月份，山东大学公共治理研究院助理教授李进涛以第一作者身份在《Socio-Economic Planning Sciences》发表了《Influence measurement of rapid urbanization on agricultural production factors based on provincial panel data》一文。

Abstract:

The proportion of agricultural output value is continuously decreasing because of the process of rapid urbanization, but it is still the basis of economic development and urban construction. Agricultural production factors are at the core of agriculture, and have an important influence on the agricultural output value. In the period of rapid urbanization, high technical and capital investment improved agricultural production efficiency and increased the income of farmers. However, in recent years it also introduced serious problems for agricultural production, including aging farmers and weakening labor markets, farmland conversion, and soil pollution. In this study, we estimated the elasticity coefficients of agricultural production factors, including labor, capital and technique, using the improved Cobb–Douglas production function and provincial panel data from 2000 to 2015, and measured the effects of urbanization on elasticity coefficients using the Euclidean metric and gravity model. The results were as follows. (1) In time, the elasticity coefficient of labor was stable, and with a low increase from 0.238 to 0.304. However, the elasticity coefficients of land and capital had been increasing since 2000, by 1.125 and 0.140, respectively. The higher elasticity coefficient of agricultural production factors was gradual from labor to capital, with the growth of urbanization level. (2) In space, the elasticity coefficients were the space distribution, as urbanization divided into east, central and west: the elasticity coefficients of labor and land in the eastern regions were higher, and the elasticity coefficient of capital in the central regions was higher. (3) Economic urbanization had a larger positive influence on the elasticity coefficient of capital, and the population had a larger negative influence on elasticity coefficients of labor. The quantitative results were similar to the development status, but there were different influences on elasticity coefficients in different provinces. (4) Finally, the study put forward suggestions for agricultural sustainable development according to the function mechanism of urbanization on agricultural production factors, including increasing the attention paid agriculture, ensuring a stable market environment, and optimizing the industrial structure, with reference to scientific, green and healthy agriculture.

Keywords:

Rapid urbanization;Agricultural production factors;Influence measurement;Elasticity coefficients

作者简介：

李进涛，山东大学公共治理研究院助理教授，主要研究方向为土地利用与城乡发展。先后参与了国家科技支撑计划项目课题、国家自然科学基金重点项目、国家社会科学基金重大项目等研究，参加了2015年、2016年、2017年精准扶贫第三方评估工作，获得了“先进个人”荣誉称号。担任《Land Degradation & Development 》、《Journal of Geographical Sciences》期刊审稿人，以第一作者在《Sustainability》、《Journal of Mountain Science》、《 Habitat International》、《Socio-economic planning sciences》等发表SSCI/SCI 论文4 篇，在《地理学报》、《地理研究》等中文核心期刊发表论文10余篇。